Seattle Mariners travel to Ohio to take on the Cleveland Guardians. These are a pair of young 2022 postseason teams in different divisions that begin their final series of the season today.
The Seattle Mariners (2-5) haven’t gotten off to the start they imagined after last year’s 90-win campaign. They’ve lost both series this year despite both sets coming at home. The Mariners are headed on the road for the first time this season, and maybe that’s what they need to find their groove.
Meanwhile, the Cleveland Guardians (5-2) had no issues with their west coast swing and finally got to feel the warm embrace of their home fans in 2023. Unlike last season, the early returns this season see the offense leading the team to victory. Let’s see if they’ll maintain their strong play against a team that wants payback.
These teams met four times to begin the season, with Cleveland taking three games in Seattle. Mariners vs. Guardians continues this weekend, this time along Lake Erie.
Fixture: Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians
Date and Time: Friday, April 7, 2023, 4:10 p.m. EST
Venue: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
Mariners vs. Guardians: Betting Odds
|Team||Run Line||Total||Money Line|
|Mariners||+1.5 (-200)||Over 7.0 (-120)||+110|
|Guardians||-1.5 (+170)||Under 7.0 (+100)||-130|
Mariners vs. Guardians: Starting Pitchers
Logan Gilbert’s first start of 2023 came against Cleveland, and he tossed 6.0 innings. He struck out seven batters and only walked one, with a solo homer as the only blemish on his stat line. Unfortunately, he got no run support, so he took the loss despite his strong effort. Gilbert has a 1.89 ERA across 19.0 innings in his last three starts against the Guardians.
Aaron Civale was Gilbert’s dance partner last time, and he’s getting the call again today. Civale only allowed two hits and one walk in his 7.0 innings pitched against the Mariners last weekend. In four career starts, Civale is 2-2 with a 2.89 ERA against the Mariners. Two of the starts were shutouts, and he allowed at least four runs in the other two.
Seattle’s offense may not have yet made the trip north from Spring Training. The Mariners are bottom-10 in batting average, OBP, and slugging percentage. They’re also 23rd in strikeouts and 24th in walks. The pitching staff is also struggling with walks, ranking 27th but still eighth in ERA entering today.
Cleveland’s offense has exceeded five runs in four of their first seven games. They’re fifth in runs, fifth in hits and second in walks. The Guardians were third in stolen bases last season, and they’ve already swiped 10 bags in 2023. Their pitching staff has struck out 61 batters, fifth in MLB.
Mariners vs. Guardians: Betting Prediction
While both pitchers were on point when they faced each other last weekend, that shouldn’t happen again. Aaron Civale owns a higher ERA at home, and his starts against Seattle have alternated between dominant and forgettable. Based on the pattern, it’s forgettable’s turn. Both starters also own a career ERA exceeding 3.70. This game is also shifting to Cleveland, which is much more kind towards hitters than Seattle, as the Mariners have the most pitcher-friendly park in baseball. With the way the Guardians are hitting and Seattle’s power potential, expect plenty of scoring this afternoon. The over is the best play.