The Miami Marlins have been struggling a bit throughout the season and are currently third in the NL East with a 3-5 record after losing 9-3 yesterday to begin this series against the New York Mets. Young left-hander Trevor Rogers will be getting the ball here and is coming off a losing effort against the Mets last time out, going 4.1 innings and giving up four runs (three earned) on four hits with two hit by pitches, two walks and four strikeouts.
The New York Mets have been trying to get going as they are second in the NL East with a 4-4 record. They are sending their free agent acquisition righty Kodai Senga to the mound as he picked up his first MLB victory after defeating the Marlins with one run on three hits, three walks and eight strikeouts over 5.1 innings on the mound.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: Betting Odds
|Miami Marlins||+1.5 (-150)||Over 7.5 (-115)||+145|
|New York Mets||-1.5 (+130)||Under 7.5 (-105)||-170|
Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
The Miami Marlins have been brutal on the offensive side of the game and are 27th in the sport with a .650 team OPS while averaging 2.25 runs per game up to this point. They need to figure out how to get on base more often as a team, as they have just a .281 OBP, the fourth-lowest in the majors. Designated hitter Jorge Soler has been hitting well this year and has a .914 OPS with three home runs, six RBI and four runs scored. If they can figure out how to get a consistent output at the plate, they will be better positioned to provide some run support.
Trevor Rogers has been doing decently well throughout his career. In 56 career starts, Rogers is 12-22 with a 4.56 ERA and has more than a strikeout per inning. In his seven career outings against the Mets, he is 2-2 with a 3.21 ERA, so he could do well, as there are a lot of consistent faces in this lineup. Their bullpen has been atrocious and is 28th with a 6.54 reliever ERA thus far. It will be interesting to see how they do, specifically in the later innings.
New York Mets
The New York Mets had a lot of question marks filled during the offseason, but people were not bought in entirely with their lineup. The Mets are 23rd in MLB with a .676 team OPS, averaging four runs per game. They are doing well without hitting much, with just a .209 batting average thus far. Shortstop Francisco Lindor has been one of the few hitters doing well, as he has a .892 OPS with a home run, five RBI, four runs scored, and a 7:7 walk-to-strikeout ratio thus far. The Mets will be in a better spot if they begin to hit better as a team.
Kodai Senga will be on the mound in this game and will be interesting as the Marlins hitters have already seen his stuff in their last start. They struggled as Senga has a .167 batting average against, along with his newness in the league, as almost every batter has not seen how Senga’s stuff looks. Their bullpen has also struggled thus far, as they are 23rd in MLB and have a 4.84 bullpen ERA with a 1.32 WHIP right now. If the Mets can figure out how to get some solid innings out of Senga, it will help them get closer to the top of the NL East.
Fixture: Miami Marlins @ New York Mets
Date & Time: Saturday, April 8, 4:10 p.m. EDT
Venue: Citi Field in Flushing, NY
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: Betting Prediction
The Marlins had to use a lot of bullpen pieces as Edward Cabrera was only able to get eight outs yesterday. The Mets finally have figured out how to score runs at a great level as they finally got some solid production by going just 2-for-15 with runners in scoring position. Trevor Rogers has decent numbers against the Mets, but they will not score enough runs to keep this game close. All in all, go with the New York Mets to win this game and cover the run line here.