The No. 22 Florida Gators (3-1) will visit the Kentucky Wildcats (4-0) in Week 5. Florida downed Charlotte 22-7 in last Saturday’s game. The Gators’ Graham Mertz improved his completion percentage to 78% in the win. Meanwhile, Kentucky edged Vanderbilt 45-28 in Week 4. The Wildcats forced three interceptions in the victory.
Florida vs. Kentucky Betting Odds
|Gators||+1.0 (-115)||Over 43.5 (-120)||-105|
|Wildcats||-1.0 (-105)||Under 43.5 (+100)||-115|
Odds Courtesy of BetRivers Sportsbook
Fixture: Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats
Date & Time: Saturday, September 30, 12:00 p.m. EDT
Venue: Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky
Florida quarterback Graham Mertz owns the highest completion percentage in the SEC. However, Florida is in the bottom half of the conference in touchdown passes and passing yards per game. The Gators have also been mediocre in most team rushing statistics. They average 159 rushing yards per game on 4.2 yards per attempt. Florida averages just one turnover per game.
Florida holds opposing passers to an SEC-low 163 passing yards per game and 0.8 passing touchdowns per contest. The front seven has also impressed, keeping opposing backfields to a lowly 2.9 yards per attempt on 28.5 attempts per game. Florida allows an SEC-low 245 yards per game. However, the Gators are last in the conference in total turnovers forced.
Only Vanderbilt holds a lower completion percentage than the Kentucky Wildcats. However, North Carolina State transfer Devin Leary has done well, throwing for 1,060 yards and nine touchdowns against five interceptions in his team’s first four games. Additionally, Kentucky trails just Tennessee in rushing yards per attempt (5.5). The Wildcats are just one of three teams in the SEC to average north of 7.0 yards per play.
The Kentucky secondary has been respectable, holding opposing passers to a 61% completion percentage of 216 yards per game. The Kentucky rush defense is the best in the SEC. The Wildcats keep opposing rushers to 78 yards per game on an SEC-best 2.6 rushing yards per attempt. They trail just Tennessee and Georgia for the lowest amount of yards allowed per play. They also force an SEC-high 2.0 turnovers per game.
Florida vs. Kentucky Betting Prediction
I like the under in this matchup. Both offenses have done well but need more explosiveness in the passing game. Meanwhile, the defenses are two of the best in the SEC and the country. So, let’s roll with the under in this Week 5 college football matchup.