The San Diego State Aztecs will face the Utah State Aggies on Saturday in the Final of the Mountain West Championship. San Diego State, ranked #20 in the country, dismantled San Jose State, and they’ve now won nine of their last ten to bring their record to 26-6. Utah State is 26-7 and they’re fresh off a 72-62 win against Boise State yesterday, their seventh victory in a row. SDSU has won both contests against Utah St. this season, but the last meeting was decided by just two points, so we could be in for another competitive affair today.
Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Odds
|Utah State||+2 (-105)||Over 137.5 (-110)||+110|
|San Diego State||-2 (-115)||Under 137.5 (-110)||-130|
Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs Match Details
Fixture: Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs
Date & Time: Saturday, March 11, 6:00 p.m. EDT
Venue: Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV
Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs Key Stats
Utah State is a very solid offensive team, averaging 114.3 points per 100 possessions while shooting an excellent 48.6% from the field and 40% from downtown. Junior guard Steven Ashworth has been great this year, leading the team in scoring (16.4 PPG) and assisting (4.6 APG). Four other Aggies average double-digit points, which has helped them out a lot on this winning streak. While Ashworth is the main playmaker, guard Max Shulga isn’t too far behind him at 4.1 assists. Utah State’s offense flows well, and overall their only weakness is that occasionally their defense can falter against stronger opponents, like San Diego State.
The Aztecs haven’t been that efficient during this conference tournament, but their defense has carried them to this stage. SDSU is led by senior Matt Bradley, who averages 12.8 PPG and is surprisingly the only Aztec that averages over ten points per game. It’s uncommon to see a top-25 team only have one player scoring in double digits, but their defense, especially guarding the three-point line has been a huge strength. Today, look for their defense to be the catalyst to what would be their second Mountain West Championship in three years.
Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Prediction
SDSU has beaten Utah State twice this season, but these teams are very evenly matched. Utah State is one of the best scoring teams around, and they’re red-hot. The Aggies have won and covered each of their last seven, and they’re 5-1 SU and ATS in neutral site games. SDSU hasn’t fared as well against the spread, but they squeeze out a lot of close wins. Today, in Vegas, expect Utah State to at least cover the spread in a game that could come down to the final seconds.
Prediction: Utah State +2 (-110)
Lucas Abrenica’s NCAA Basketball ATS & ML picks this season are 88-70-3 (+103.2 units)