On Sunday, the Oregon Ducks (15-12) will take on the Washington State Cougars (12-15) in Pullman. Oregon has lost two straight games and is on the verge of needing to win the conference tournament to punch their ticket to March Madness. However, if the Ducks can rally late, starting with a win at Washington State before two likely cupcake games between Oregon State and California, they can turn a good showing in the Pac-12 tourney into an at-large bid. Washington State has struggled against good teams this season but beat up on Oregon State last Thursday 80-62. They have a chance to play spoiler on Sunday night.
Oregon vs. Washington State
|Washington State Cougars||-1.5||u134.5||-110|
Odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook
Oregon vs. Washington State Match Details
Fixture: Oregon Ducks at Washington State Cougars
Date and Time: Sunday, February 19th at 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Beasley Coliseum
ShotQuality Tale of the Tape
Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player’s average ShotQuality points per possession.
Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions.
The Oregon Ducks own a 1.12 AdjOFF SQ this season, good for 43rd in the nation. Washington State has the 49th-best AdjDEF SQ at 0.96. Oregon does well in all key stats but shot-making, where they are in the 18th percentile. They are also 352nd in the open three rate metric. Conversely, the Cougars are in the 56th percentile in defensive shot-making,
The Ducks own high-frequency numbers in catch-and-shoot three-pointers, cut, isolation, off-screen, P&R ball screen, post-up, and transition shot types. They are in the top 60 in shots off of the cut and P&R while being average to poor in all other high-frequency shot types. Conversely, the Cougars are 181st in defensive P&R and 288th in defending shots off the cut.
The Cougars have a 1.12 AdjOFF SQ, the 46th-best mark in the country. Oregon has posted a 0.93 AdjDEF SQ this season, clocking in at 28th in the country. The Cougars are 15th in spacing but outside the top 100 in everything else. The Ducks are 177th in defensive spacing and 314th in defensive shot-making, but the Cougs’ shot-making ability is outside the top 200.
Washington State is in the country’s top half in frequency regarding the following shot types: catch-and-shoot three-pointers, half-court, isolation, P&R ball screen, and post-up. Washington State will have an advantage on catch-and-shoot three-pointers while being neutral at everything else.
Oregon vs. Washington State Prediction
Oregon is flat-out desperate to win this game. The Pac-12 is projected to be a three-team bid, and with UCLA and Arizona locks, the Ducks are in a three-way tie with Arizona State and USC to get in the dance, and with their resume the least impressive, they can’t afford to slip up against WSU. So take the Ducks as a short underdog in this one.