The (#21) Maryland Terrapins (20-9) and Ohio State Buckeyes (12-17) will square off in Columbus on Wednesday night.
Maryland is projected to be a seventh seed in March Madness, per Jerry Palm of CBS Sports. They have won eight of their last ten and have grabbed wins against Northwestern, Minnesota, Purdue, Penn State, Indiana, Nebraska, and Minnesota again. Ohio State is in the midst of one of its worst seasons in program history and has lost nine of its last ten. However, they are only two-point dogs against Maryland on Wednesday.
Maryland vs. Ohio State Betting Odds
|Ohio State Buckeyes||+1.5||u137.5||+105|
Odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook
Maryland vs. Ohio State Match Details
Fixture: Maryland Terrapins at Ohio State Buckeyes
Date and Time: Wednesday, March 1, 2023, at 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Value City Arena
ShotQuality Tale of the Tape
Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player’s average ShotQuality points per possession.
Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions.
The Maryland Terrapins own a 1.16 AdjOFF SQ this season, good for 14th in the nation. Ohio State has the 62nd-best AdjDEF SQ at 0.96. Maryland does well in all key stats but the open three rate metric, where they are 283rd. Conversely, the Buckeyes are 51st in the defensive open three rate. However, the Buckeyes are in the 55th percentile or worse in defensive spacing and shot-making, strengths of the Terrapins.
The Terrapins own high-frequency numbers in catch-and-shoot three-point, finishing at the rim, isolation, off-screen, P&R ball screen, post-up, and transition shot types. They are in the top 150 in all high-frequency shot types but catch-and-shoot three-pointers, owning a 1.01 SQ PPP (249th in the nation). Conversely, the Buckeyes are one of the best teams in the country defending the perimeter, but they will be at a disadvantage in the post-up.
The Ohio State Buckeyes have a 1.13 AdjOFF SQ, the 38th-best mark in the country. Maryland has posted a 0.94 AdjDEF SQ this season, clocking in at 36th in the country. The Buckeyes are in the top 60 in shot-making and rim & three SQ PPP. The Terrapins are in the 56th percentile in defensive shot-making and 83rd in defensive rim & three SQ PPP.
Ohio State is in the country’s top half in frequency regarding the following shot types: half-court, isolation, midrange, P&R ball screen, and post-up. Conversely, Maryland is in the top 160 in defending all those shot types, while the Buckeyes have been terrible in isolation.
Maryland vs. Ohio State Prediction
It’s the Buckeyes’ senior night, and they just beat Illinois 72-60. Before that, they were 0-3 at home with two close losses to Northwestern and Wisconsin. However, they have done decent on their home court in the last month, and they should be extra hyped to play on their home court for one last time this season. So grab the Buckeyes with the points.