The San Diego State Aztecs will face the Florida Atlantic Owls on Saturday for the first Final Four matchup from Houston. Fifth-seeded San Diego State won the South Region by defeating Creighton 57-56 in a game that was decided by a Darrion Trammell free throw with 1.2 seconds on the clock. #9 seed Florida Atlantic is the lowest remaining seed in the tournament, and they knocked off Kansas State 79-76 to win the East Region. FAU would become the lowest seed to win the NCAA Tournament, and they can inch closer on Saturday in what should be an entertaining affair.
FAU vs. SDSU Betting Odds
|FAU||+2.5 (-105)||Over 131.5 (-115)||+130|
|SDSU||-2.5 (-115)||Under 131.5 (-105)||-155|
FAU vs. SDSU Match Details
Fixture: Florida Atlantic Owls @ San Diego State Aztecs
Date & Time: Saturday, April 1, 6:09 p.m. EDT
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
FAU vs. SDSU Aztecs Key Stats
FAU is a very good offensive team, and they have several creative guards that have really made an impact on this run. Leading scorers Johnell Davis (13.9 PPG) and Alijah Martin (13.1 PPG) have been huge, and big man Vladislav Goldin has been a force on the interior. The seven-footer from Russia recorded a double-double of 14 points and 13 rebounds against Kansas State, and on the year he’s the Owls’ third-leading scorer at 10.3 points per game. FAU is also rock solid defensively, as they have held teams to just about 40% shooting on the year. It won’t be easy for them tonight, but they can use their size to their advantage, and they’ll also aim to limit turnovers, as they committed 22 last game.
SDSU is one of the better defensive teams in all of college basketball, and during the tournament, teams have shot around 35% combined against the Aztecs. They were able to hold Creighton, a really good scoring team to just 56 points and 40% shooting, and they can definitely have similar success against FAU. Offenisvely, SDSU hasn’t been great recently, but they’ve come up clutch and ground out several wins on this run. The key to this game will be their defense again, but pay attention to the battle on the glass.
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Prediction
Both schools are red-hot at the moment, and both haven’t lost since February. When it comes to covering, both have also covered the majority of their recent games as well. FAU has been the underdog in most of their games, but they’re now 6-2 ATS as underdogs on the year thanks to this run. SDSU have a really strong squad, but because their leading scorer Matt Bradley has been shut down since the opening round, it may be hard for them to consistently score on Saturday. Back FAU to at least hang and cover the spread as this could be a game that is decided in the final possession.
Prediction: Florida Atlantic +2.5 (-105)
Lucas Abrenica’s NCAA Basketball ATS & ML picks this season are 95-80-3 (+65.4 units)